June 2009
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World Series Odds

I thought it would be fun to see what the simulator thought each team’s WS odds were. I went ahead and set the DH/Non-DH lineups for all likely playoff teams and also brought up any players who were injured but should be available for the post season. Results are based on 1000 seasons simulated. Overall, things are looking up. We still have a ways to go balance wise but this is the first season I can remember where the favorite had under a 50% chance of winning the WS.

Baltimore Orioles: 46.9%
Washington Nationals: 31.3%
Minnesota Twins: 13.0%
Florida Marlins: 2.7%
Texas Rangers: 2.6%
San Diego Padres: 2.1%
Milwaukee Brewers: 0.9%
Chicago Cubs: 0.3%
Montreal Expos: 0.1%
Detroit Tigers: 0.1%

1 comment to World Series Odds

  • SanjiWatsuki

    “When you say “not good” do you mean one in a hundred?”
    “I’d say more like one in a million.”
    [pause]
    “So, you’re saying there’s a chance!”

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